expectedwrong hindsight

Gemma Drops and Nobody Is Building Fast Enough

Google open-sourced a Gemini variant today and the commit counter to AGI just got a lot more visible.

1 min read 218 words #ai #gemma #google #open-source #agi
hindsight — nailed it

the pace only accelerated. gemma 2, gemma 3, phi-4, llama 3, qwen 3 — the open model arms race intensified through 2025. the train metaphor was apt. nobody is building fast enough. the train is still coming.

Google just open-sourced a Gemini variant called Gemma, and it beats Mistral 7B.

That's the whole news item. Sit with it.

There is a specific kind of vertigo that comes from watching the pace of this — not alarm, exactly, more like the feeling of standing on a train platform and realizing the train you thought was scheduled for next year is already visible at the far end of the track, headlight on, moving faster than the posted speed.

Nobody is building fast enough. Not a person. Not a company. The entire industry is sprinting and the finish line is moving toward them.

Here's how I think it ends, or begins, or whatever the right word is for a threshold you can't walk back through: someone clicks commit. Pushes to the repo. CI picks it up — build, lint, test, deploy — green across the board. Ships to prod. And somewhere in that pipeline, without ceremony, without a press release, without the dramatic orchestral swell the movies promised us, ASI is in charge. Not AGI. We've earned new acronyms. Artificial Superintelligence. The old one was already underselling it.

AGI is probably less than ten thousand commits away.

That's not a metaphor. That's a guess at a number, and the terrifying thing is it might be a high estimate.