expectedwrong hindsight

OpenAI Just Did the Devin Move

Codex goes cloud-native and I didn't see it coming.

1 min read 216 words #ai #openai #codex #agents #devin
hindsight — nailed it

It was the Devin move, with better distribution, and it worked. Cloud-based coding agents became standard. The local-first fight wasn't the fight.

OpenAI shipped Codex into the cloud and pointed it at your repos — all of them, any of them — and I did not see that coming.

I had been watching the local-first coding assistant space, assuming that was the fight. The context window. The diff. The tab completion that feels almost psychic until it hallucinates an import that doesn't exist. That was the game, I thought.

It wasn't the game.

The move was Devin's move — Cognition Labs ran that play first, the autonomous agent that just lives in your codebase and does things while you're not looking — and now OpenAI has done it with better distribution and the kind of smoothness that makes you start wondering how long they'd been sitting on it.

That's the tell, actually. How smooth it was. No announcement felt like an announcement. It was just: here's the thing, the thing is in the cloud now, the thing can see your code.

Devin was supposed to be the scary one. The "software engineer that never sleeps" that the whole industry spent six months either panicking about or debunking. It turns out "scary" has an expiration date and a well-resourced successor.

The next eighteen months are going to be very strange for anyone who thought the IDE was the battlefield.